← All storiesCOMMERCE OF AI

Who builds it, who pays for it, who earns?

Two published stories and a reading plan for the business behind AI, from chips and cloud capacity to models, agents and the companies selling them. Planned entries are research directions, not promised dates.

RESEARCH QUEUE · NOT YET PUBLISHED

The stack

01
PLANNED STORY

Hyperscalers: who rents the AI factory?

The cost of data centers, chips and cloud capacity, and who gets paid when a model is trained or served.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
02
PLANNED STORY

CUDA: software as a hardware moat

Why developer tools around the GPU matter to chip sales and switching costs.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
03
PLANNED STORY

Models: the product behind the API

Compare the ways model providers package and price access, without treating every benchmark win as a business.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
04
PLANNED STORY

Weights: open, closed and licensed

Who can download, run, adapt and sell access to a model, and how its license changes the business.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
05
PLANNED STORY

Agents: from answers to work

Where tools, human review, reliability and usage costs enter when a model takes actions.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
06
PLANNED STORY

Harnesses: the system around the model

The economics of context, tools, checkpoints and evaluation across long-running tasks.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
PUBLISHED

Company studies

01
COMMERCE OF AI · ANTHROPIC

Anthropic's IPO prospectus asks who pays for intelligence

A reported look at the revenue, compute bill and market wager behind a possible listing.

Read ↗
02
COMMERCE OF AI · OPENAI

OpenAI filed for an IPO too. Only OpenAI has not shown us the numbers.

A reported look at its confidential IPO filing, revenue run rates and compute commitments.

Read ↗
RESEARCH QUEUE · NOT YET PUBLISHED

Coming soon

01
PLANNED STORY

Thinking Machines Lab: customization and open weights

Explore its model and developer platform, and what open weights change for distribution.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
02
PLANNED STORY

Kimi (Moonshot AI): model access as a business

Follow the developer model catalog and its approach to selling API access.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
03
PLANNED STORY

DeepSeek: pricing and open-model competition

Use its published model and API pricing as a starting point for the cost-versus-capability story.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon
04
PLANNED STORY

Confluence Labs: learning when data is scarce

Study the economics of AI research that aims to learn from costly experiments and small datasets.

Starting source ↗
Coming soon