Labels: [Sourced] checked against a source listed at the end. [General] standard industry knowledge. [Our view] opinion, labelled as such. [Illustrative] made-up numbers to teach an idea.
1. The story: Target's parking-lot experiment
Target first partnered with San Francisco-based Curbside in 2014, testing pick-up in parking lots at 11 Bay Area stores. In October 2017 it was testing "Drive Up" in 50 Minnesota stores, trailing Wal-Mart. [Sourced: CNBC, Oct 3 2017] By August 30, 2019, Drive Up was in all 50 states and reached 1,750 stores, less than two years after launch. [Sourced: Retail Dive] The store, which looked like a cost, became a tiny warehouse and pickup point. [Our view]
2. The one idea
Shoppers don't think in channels. They want to browse in one place, buy in another and return in a third. Omnichannel means one inventory, one customer, one price story across every door. [General]
3. The kitchen-table version
Your bank: app, branch, ATM. Same account, same balance everywhere. When one door shows a different balance, you stop trusting it.
4. The common services [General]
Ship to home, ship from store, buy online pick up in store (BOPIS), curbside, returns in store, endless aisle (order in store for home delivery).
5. Why it is hard
- You need one view of stock (Modules 3, 9). If online shows 4 but the store has 0, the order fails.
- Fulfillment choice matters for cost (Modules 8, 12).
- Returns cross channels (Module 12B).
6. How big is online?
US retail e-commerce sales in Q2 2026 were estimated at $340.2 billion, seasonally adjusted, out of $1,986.5 billion in total retail sales, about 17% (17.1% when we divide; FRED lists 17.1%). The Census Bureau notes these estimates will be revised with the Q3 2026 release on November 19, 2026, so treat the share as "about 17%". [Sourced: US Census Bureau, Aug 18, 2026 and its Sept 28, 2026 notice; FRED] So most retail still happens in stores, which is why stores matter to online strategy. [Our view]
7. Worked example: pickup versus delivery [Illustrative]
An order of $60 with $22 gross margin. Delivered to home: fulfillment cost $9, leaves $13. Customer picks up in store: cost $2, leaves $20, plus a chance of an extra purchase in store. Pickup earns $7 more (9 minus 2). The numbers are made up, but the direction is why retailers push pickup. [Our view]
8. Where AI fits
Choosing which node fulfills each order; predicting pickup demand by hour; reading intent across channels; assistants that shop across stores (Module 21). [General]
9. Exercise
List every way you can get your favorite item from your favorite retailer. Which is cheapest for them? For you?
10. Quiz
- What does omnichannel require? Shared inventory and customer data across doors.
- Why do retailers like pickup? Lower fulfillment cost; extra store visits.
- Share of US retail sales that is e-commerce in Q2 2026? About 17%.
Sources
- CNBC: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/03/target-rolls-out-curbside-pick-up-service-trailing-rival-wal-mart.html
- Retail Dive: https://www.retaildive.com/news/target-expands-drive-up-to-200-more-stores/527508/
- Census: https://www.census.gov/retail/mrts/www/data/pdf/ec_current.pdf ; FRED: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ECOMPCTSA